Vale SA ADR (VALE) stock chart and technical analysis

Indicator summary: Bearish (0 bullish, 4 bearish, 1 neutral). As of 2026-09-18, the close was $14.21: 1.9% below the 50-day average and 4.6% below the 200-day average, which is rising. RSI (14) is 42, in its neutral range. MACD is bearish after a cross in the last 10 days. The stock sits 56% of the way up its 52-week range of $10.10 to $17.43, on 0.5x its 20-day average volume.

Indicator	Reading	Read
50-day average	$14.48	Price 1.9% below
200-day average	$14.90	Price 4.6% below, average rising
50 vs 200-day	50 below 200	Death-cross alignment
RSI (14)	42	Neutral range
MACD (12, 26, 9)	-0.02 vs +0.12	Bearish cross in the last 10 days
52-week range	$10.10 to $17.43	56% of the way up the range
Volume vs 20-day average	0.5x	Light

What followed this setup for VALE

When it closed below its 200-day average (2,471 days), it was higher 63 trading days later 54% of the time, median +1.9%.
When it closed below its 50-day average (2,687 days), it was higher 63 trading days later 54% of the time, median +1.8%.
When it had MACD below its signal line (2,965 days), it was higher 63 trading days later 57% of the time, median +3.2%.
All days since 2002 (6,101 days): higher 63 trading days later 58% of the time, median +4.0%.

Base rates use VALE's own daily history since 2002; they describe the past, not a forecast.

ŷRobot chart signal: Hold, from the chart signal model.

VALE analysis: AI score, fair value and forecast · Is it a bull or a bear market today? · All covered stocks

ŷRobot analysis is AI-generated and quality-gated; nothing here is investment advice.