MSFTTECHNOLOGYFree preview

Microsoft Corporation

Last close: $535.93Last updated: Nov 6, 2026

MSFT

— Microsoft Corporation

INDUSTRY:SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE
SECTOR:TECHNOLOGY

Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology company which produces computer software, consumer electronics, personal computers, and related services. Its best known software products are the Microsoft Windows line of operating systems, the Microsoft Office suite, and the Internet Explorer and Edge web browsers. Its flagship hardware products are the Xbox video game consoles and the Microsoft Surface lineup of touchscreen personal computers. Microsoft ranked No. 21 in the 2020 Fortune 500 rankings of the largest United States corporations by total revenue; it was the world's largest software maker by revenue as of 2016. It is considered one of the Big Five companies in the U.S. information technology industry, along with Google, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook.

OVERALL AI RATING

61/100

BULLISH

81% confidence · 9 of 9 factors

Higher when more factors have data and they agree with each other.

Bullish outlook primarily supported by favorable momentum indicators.

FUNDAMENTALS OUTLOOK

63

/100

Favorable

+3% vs the model's 6-month fair value; ranks in the bottom 43% of mega caps by model upside.

Valuation against the model's 6-month target, reported financials, analyst consensus, and the earnings beat streak. P/E versus this company's own history is shown for reference.

Fair Value

38% of score

+2.8% vs fair value (43rd pct of mega caps)

Fundamentals

15% of score

revenue +15%, margin 45%, FCF yield +1.5%

P/E vs History

informational · no weight

P/E 28.1 vs 28.2 avg (-0.0σ)

Analyst Consensus

10% of score

consensus

Earnings Beat Streak

4% of score

15 straight beats

SEASONALITY OUTLOOK

58

/100

Favorable

The seasonal model expects +2.5% over 90 days and +1.4% over 30 days.

The seasonal price model at both scored horizons.

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

25% of score

+2.5% expected

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

5% of score

+1.4% 30d

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

50

/100

Neutral

Annualized volatility 30%. Chart signal reads Bearish (shown for reference, no weight in the score).

The volatility penalty. The chart classifier's short-horizon read is shown for reference but no longer weighs on the score.

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

-0.12

Volatility

4% of score

0.30 ann.

How the rating is built: each factor's weight × signal is its contribution. The contributions add up to a raw score from −100 to +100, and the overall score is 50 plus half that sum. A factor with no data counts as neutral, so it neither helps nor hurts.

Fair Value

38% of score

How far today's price sits from the model's 6-month fair value estimate, ranked against companies of similar size.

+2.8% vs fair value (43rd pct of mega caps)

-5.0

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

25% of score

The seasonal price model projected 90 days out, as an expected return. It reads this stock's own price history and repeating calendar cycles — not company news, earnings, or business quality. Same model as the 30-day factor below, read at a longer horizon.

+2.5% expected

+4.2

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

A machine-learning classifier reading momentum and trend structure across daily and weekly price bars. Needs about 5 years of trading history. Shown for information only: it reads roughly five days ahead, shorter than the score's horizon, so it carries no weight in the AI Score.

-0.12

+0.0

Fundamentals

15% of score

Reported results, not projections: revenue growth, operating margin, and free cash flow measured against market value. Loss-making or cash-burning companies score negative here.

revenue +15%, margin 45%, FCF yield +1.5%

+8.9

P/E vs History

informational · no weight

Today's price-to-earnings against this company's own trailing average, in standard deviations. Needs positive earnings. Shown for information only: tested on ten years of history it did not improve the score, so it carries no weight.

P/E 28.1 vs 28.2 avg (-0.0σ)

+0.0

Analyst Consensus

10% of score

Wall Street consensus ratings, weighted by conviction.

consensus

+10.0

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

5% of score

The same seasonal price model as the 90-day factor above, read 30 days out. A near-term and a medium-term view of one forecast, which is why they can disagree.

+1.4% 30d

+0.7

Earnings Beat Streak

4% of score

How many quarters in a row this company has beaten analysts' earnings estimates. Four or more in a row counts fully; not beating the estimate last quarter counts against it.

15 straight beats

+3.8

Volatility

4% of score

An annualized volatility penalty. High volatility lowers the score; low volatility never raises it.

0.30 ann.

+0.0

Reader questions

Questions about MSFT

Is MSFT overvalued or undervalued right now?

As of Oct 30, 2026, ŷRobot's fair-value model estimates Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) at $550.68 against a last close of $535.93, implying 2.8% upside to the model's estimate.

Is MSFT's chart signal bullish or bearish?

The chart-signal model classifies MSFT as Neutral as of Nov 6, 2026, with a signal score of -0.12 on a -1 to 1 scale.

What is MSFT's ŷRobot AI score?

MSFT scores 61 out of 100 on ŷRobot's AI composite, which measures how strongly the fair-value and chart models agree, as of Nov 6, 2026.

Is MSFT stock expensive on P/E and P/S?

MSFT trades at 29.6 times earnings and 11.9 times sales as of Nov 6, 2026.

What does MSFT's seasonal forecast show?

ŷRobot's seasonal forecast curve for MSFT reads +1.4% at 30 days, +2.3% at 90 days, and +9.2% at one year as of Nov 6, 2026. Seasonal tendencies are historical patterns, not predictions.

How fast is MSFT growing?

Microsoft Corporation's revenue growth is +14.8% and free-cash-flow growth is -0.7% on the latest reported figures.

Methodology & trust

What this is (and isn’t)

These outputs are generated by machine learning models trained on historical price, fundamental, and volume data. The models summarize historical data and current model outputs — they do not predict the future or constitute personalized investment advice. All figures are updated on a regular cadence and reflect the most recent available data at time of generation.

ŷRobot provides research and information, not personalized financial advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.