MSFTTECHNOLOGYFree preview

Microsoft Corporation

Last close: $491.65Last updated: Sep 9, 2026

MSFT

— Microsoft Corporation

INDUSTRY:SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE
SECTOR:TECHNOLOGY

Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology company which produces computer software, consumer electronics, personal computers, and related services. Its best known software products are the Microsoft Windows line of operating systems, the Microsoft Office suite, and the Internet Explorer and Edge web browsers. Its flagship hardware products are the Xbox video game consoles and the Microsoft Surface lineup of touchscreen personal computers. Microsoft ranked No. 21 in the 2020 Fortune 500 rankings of the largest United States corporations by total revenue; it was the world's largest software maker by revenue as of 2016. It is considered one of the Big Five companies in the U.S. information technology industry, along with Google, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook.

OVERALL AI RATING

54/100

NEUTRAL

81% confidence · 8 of 8 factors

Higher when more factors have data and they agree with each other.

Neutral outlook indicating balanced conditions across pillars.

FUNDAMENTALS OUTLOOK

49

/100

Neutral

-5% vs the model's 6-month fair value; ranks in the bottom 25% of mega caps by model upside.

Valuation against the model's 6-month target, reported financials, P/E versus this company's own history, and analyst consensus.

Fair Value

weight 0.3

-4.7% vs fair value (25th pct of mega caps)

Fundamentals

weight 0.12

revenue +12%, margin 45%, FCF yield +2.0%

P/E vs History

weight 0.08

P/E 29.3 vs 27.8 avg (+0.2σ)

Analyst Consensus

weight 0.08

consensus

SEASONALITY OUTLOOK

66

/100

Favorable

Balanced historical trends with neutral performance.

The seasonal price model at both scored horizons.

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

weight 0.2

+5.9% expected

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

weight 0.04

-0.1% 30d

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

50

/100

Neutral

Neutral market momentum and balanced indicators.

The volatility penalty. The chart classifier's short-horizon read is shown for reference but no longer weighs on the score.

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

-0.14

Volatility

weight 0.03

0.30 ann.

How the rating is built — each factor's weight × signal contributes to the composite; the contributions sum to the overall score. A factor with no data counts as neutral, so it neither helps nor hurts.

Fair Value

weight 0.3

How far today's price sits from the model's 6-month fair value estimate, ranked against companies of similar size.

-4.7% vs fair value (25th pct of mega caps)

-17.8

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

weight 0.2

The seasonal price model projected 90 days out, as an expected return. It reads this stock's own price history and repeating calendar cycles — not company news, earnings, or business quality. Same model as the 30-day factor below, read at a longer horizon.

+5.9% expected

+9.3

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

A machine-learning classifier reading momentum and trend structure across daily and weekly price bars. Needs about 5 years of trading history. Shown for information only: it reads roughly five days ahead, shorter than the score's horizon, so it carries no weight in the AI Score.

-0.14

+0.0

Fundamentals

weight 0.12

Reported results, not projections: revenue growth, operating margin, and free cash flow measured against market value. Loss-making or cash-burning companies score negative here.

revenue +12%, margin 45%, FCF yield +2.0%

+8.1

P/E vs History

weight 0.08

Today's price-to-earnings against this company's own trailing average, in standard deviations. Needs positive earnings.

P/E 29.3 vs 27.8 avg (+0.2σ)

-1.2

Analyst Consensus

weight 0.08

Wall Street consensus ratings, weighted by conviction.

consensus

+9.4

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

weight 0.04

The same seasonal price model as the 90-day factor above, read 30 days out. A near-term and a medium-term view of one forecast, which is why they can disagree.

-0.1% 30d

+0.0

Volatility

weight 0.03

An annualized volatility penalty. High volatility lowers the score; low volatility never raises it.

0.30 ann.

+0.0

Methodology & trust

What this is (and isn’t)

These outputs are generated by machine learning models trained on historical price, fundamental, and volume data. The models summarize historical data and current model outputs — they do not predict the future or constitute personalized investment advice. All figures are updated on a regular cadence and reflect the most recent available data at time of generation.

ŷRobot provides research and information, not personalized financial advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.