TSLACONSUMER CYCLICALFree preview

Tesla Inc

Last close: $343.69Last updated: Nov 6, 2026

TSLA

— Tesla Inc

INDUSTRY:AUTO MANUFACTURERS
SECTOR:CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Tesla, Inc. is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company based in Palo Alto, California. Tesla's current products include electric cars, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, as well as other related products and services. In 2020, Tesla had the highest sales in the plug-in and battery electric passenger car segments, capturing 16% of the plug-in market (which includes plug-in hybrids) and 23% of the battery-electric (purely electric) market. Through its subsidiary Tesla Energy, the company develops and is a major installer of solar photovoltaic energy generation systems in the United States. Tesla Energy is also one of the largest global suppliers of battery energy storage systems, with 3 GWh of battery storage supplied in 2020.

OVERALL AI RATING

67/100

BULLISH

78% confidence · 9 of 9 factors

Higher when more factors have data and they agree with each other.

Bullish outlook primarily supported by significant valuation discount and favorable historical monthly trends.

FUNDAMENTALS OUTLOOK

68

/100

Favorable

+20% vs the model's 6-month fair value; ranks in the top 23% of mega caps by model upside.

Valuation against the model's 6-month target, reported financials, analyst consensus, and the earnings beat streak. P/E versus this company's own history is shown for reference.

Fair Value

38% of score

+19.8% vs fair value (77th pct of mega caps)

Fundamentals

15% of score

revenue +4%, margin 1%, FCF yield +0.4%

P/E vs History

informational · no weight

P/E 238.7 vs 175.3 avg (+0.6σ)

Analyst Consensus

10% of score

consensus

Earnings Beat Streak

4% of score

no beat last report

SEASONALITY OUTLOOK

72

/100

Favorable

The seasonal model expects +7.2% over 90 days and +2.7% over 30 days.

The seasonal price model at both scored horizons.

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

25% of score

+7.2% expected

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

5% of score

+2.7% 30d

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

18

/100

Weak

Annualized volatility 57%. Chart signal reads Bullish (shown for reference, no weight in the score).

The volatility penalty. The chart classifier's short-horizon read is shown for reference but no longer weighs on the score.

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

+0.11

Volatility

4% of score

0.57 ann.

How the rating is built: each factor's weight × signal is its contribution. The contributions add up to a raw score from −100 to +100, and the overall score is 50 plus half that sum. A factor with no data counts as neutral, so it neither helps nor hurts.

Fair Value

38% of score

How far today's price sits from the model's 6-month fair value estimate, ranked against companies of similar size.

+19.8% vs fair value (77th pct of mega caps)

+20.3

Seasonal Forecast · 90d

25% of score

The seasonal price model projected 90 days out, as an expected return. It reads this stock's own price history and repeating calendar cycles — not company news, earnings, or business quality. Same model as the 30-day factor below, read at a longer horizon.

+7.2% expected

+12.0

Chart Signal

informational · no weight

A machine-learning classifier reading momentum and trend structure across daily and weekly price bars. Needs about 5 years of trading history. Shown for information only: it reads roughly five days ahead, shorter than the score's horizon, so it carries no weight in the AI Score.

+0.11

+0.0

Fundamentals

15% of score

Reported results, not projections: revenue growth, operating margin, and free cash flow measured against market value. Loss-making or cash-burning companies score negative here.

revenue +4%, margin 1%, FCF yield +0.4%

+1.5

P/E vs History

informational · no weight

Today's price-to-earnings against this company's own trailing average, in standard deviations. Needs positive earnings. Shown for information only: tested on ten years of history it did not improve the score, so it carries no weight.

P/E 238.7 vs 175.3 avg (+0.6σ)

+0.0

Analyst Consensus

10% of score

Wall Street consensus ratings, weighted by conviction.

consensus

+5.2

Seasonal Forecast · 30d

5% of score

The same seasonal price model as the 90-day factor above, read 30 days out. A near-term and a medium-term view of one forecast, which is why they can disagree.

+2.7% 30d

+1.3

Earnings Beat Streak

4% of score

How many quarters in a row this company has beaten analysts' earnings estimates. Four or more in a row counts fully; not beating the estimate last quarter counts against it.

no beat last report

-3.8

Volatility

4% of score

An annualized volatility penalty. High volatility lowers the score; low volatility never raises it.

0.57 ann.

-2.4

Reader questions

Questions about TSLA

Is TSLA overvalued or undervalued right now?

As of Oct 22, 2026, ŷRobot's fair-value model estimates Tesla Inc (TSLA) at $411.78 against a last close of $358.22, implying 15.0% upside to the model's estimate.

Is TSLA's chart signal bullish or bearish?

The chart-signal model classifies TSLA as Neutral as of Nov 6, 2026, with a signal score of -0.02 on a -1 to 1 scale.

What is TSLA's ŷRobot AI score?

TSLA scores 63 out of 100 on ŷRobot's AI composite, which measures how strongly the fair-value and chart models agree, as of Nov 6, 2026.

Is TSLA stock expensive on P/E and P/S?

TSLA trades at 357.8 times earnings and 14.7 times sales as of Nov 6, 2026.

What does TSLA's seasonal forecast show?

ŷRobot's seasonal forecast curve for TSLA reads +2.2% at 30 days, +6.8% at 90 days, and -1.5% at one year as of Nov 6, 2026. Seasonal tendencies are historical patterns, not predictions.

How fast is TSLA growing?

Tesla Inc's revenue growth is +4.4% and free-cash-flow growth is -27.2% on the latest reported figures.

Methodology & trust

What this is (and isn’t)

These outputs are generated by machine learning models trained on historical price, fundamental, and volume data. The models summarize historical data and current model outputs — they do not predict the future or constitute personalized investment advice. All figures are updated on a regular cadence and reflect the most recent available data at time of generation.

ŷRobot provides research and information, not personalized financial advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.